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Peer-Reviewed papers:

in press:


Jones, L.A., Mannion, P.D., Farnsworth, A., Bragg, F., and Lunt, D.J.: Climatic and tectonic drivers shaped the tropical distribution of coral reefs. Nat Commun 13, 3120 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30793-8

Niezgodzki, I., Gregor Knorr; Matthew Huber; Gerrit Lohmann; Daniel Lunt; Christopher Poulsen; Sebastian Steinig; Jiang Zhu; Wing-Le Chan; Yannick Donnadieu; David Hutchinson; Jean-Baptiste Ladant; Polina Morozova: Simulation of Arctic sea ice within the DeepMIP Eocene ensemble: thresholds, seasonality and factors controlling sea ice development, Global and Planetary Change, 214, 103848, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2022.103848, 2022.

Williams, C. J. R., Lunt, D. J., Salzmann, U., Reichgelt, T., Inglis, G. N., Greenwood, D. R., et al. (2022). African hydroclimate during the early Eocene from the DeepMIP simulations. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 37, e2022PA004419. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022PA004419

Reichgelt, T., Greenwood, D. R., Steinig, S., Conran, J. G., Hutchinson, D. K., Lunt, D. J., et al. (2022). Plant proxy evidence for high rainfall and productivity in the Eocene of Australia. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 37, e2022PA004418. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022PA004418

Feng, Ran, Tripti Bhattacharya, Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, Esther C. Brady, Alan M. Haywood, Julia C. Tindall, Stephen J. Hunter, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Wing-Le Chan, Masa Kageyama, Camille Contoux, Chuncheng Guo, Xiangyu Li, Gerrit Lohmann, Christian Stepanek, Ning Tan, Qiong Zhang, Zhongshi Zhang, Zixuan Han, Charles J. R. Williams, Daniel J. Lunt, Harry J. Dowsett, Deepak Chandan, and W. Richard Peltier. Past terrestrial hydroclimate sensitivity controlled by Earth system feedbacks. Nat Commun 13, 1306 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28814-7

Zhang, Y., de Boer, A. M., Lunt, D. J., Hutchinson, D. K., Ross, P., van de Flierdt, T., Sexton, P., Coxall, H.K., Steinig, S., Ladant, J.-B., Zhu, J., Donnadieu, Y., Zhang, Z., Chan, W.-L., Abe-Ouchi, A., Niezgodzki, I., Lohmann, G., Knorr, G., Poulsen, C.J., Huber, M. (2022). Early Eocene ocean meridional overturning circulation: The roles of atmospheric forcing and strait geometry. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 37, e2021PA004329. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021PA004329

Lim, J. Y., Huang, H., Farnsworth, A., Lunt, D. J., Baker, W. J., Morley, R. J., Kissling, W. D., & Hoorn, C. (2022). The Cenozoic history of palms: Global diversification, biogeography and the decline of megathermal forests. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 31, 425-439. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13436


Han, Z., Zhang, Q., Li, Q., Feng, R., Haywood, A. M., Tindall, J. C., Hunter, S. J., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Brady, E. C., Rosenbloom, N., Zhang, Z., Li, X., Guo, C., Nisancioglu, K. H., Stepanek, C., Lohmann, G., Sohl, L. E., Chandler, M. A., Tan, N., Ramstein, G., Baatsen, M. L. J., von der Heydt, A. S., Chandan, D., Peltier, W. R., Williams, C. J. R., Lunt, D. J., Cheng, J., Wen, Q., and Burls, N. J.: Evaluating the large-scale hydrological cycle response within the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2 (PlioMIP2) ensemble, Clim. Past, 17, 2537

Oldeman, A. M., Baatsen, M. L. J., von der Heydt, A. S., Dijkstra, H. A., Tindall, J. C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Booth, A. R., Brady, E. C., Chan, W.-L., Chandan, D., Chandler, M. A., Contoux, C., Feng, R., Guo, C., Haywood, A. M., Hunter, S. J., Kamae, Y., Li, Q., Li, X., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D. J., Nisancioglu, K. H., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Peltier, W. R., Pontes, G. M., Ramstein, G., Sohl, L. E., Stepanek, C., Tan, N., Zhang, Q., Zhang, Z., Wainer, I., and Williams, C. J. R.: Reduced El Niño variability in the mid-Pliocene according to the PlioMIP2 ensemble, Clim. Past, 17, 24272450, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2427-2021, 2021.

Crichton, K. A., Ridgwell, A., Lunt, D. J., Farnsworth, A., and Pearson, P. N.: Data-constrained assessment of ocean circulation changes since the middle Miocene in an Earth system model, Clim. Past, 17, 2223-2254, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2223-2021, 2021.

Williams, C. J. R., Sellar, A. A., Ren, X., Haywood, A. M., Hopcroft, P., Hunter, S. J., Roberts, W. H. G., Smith, R. S., Stone, E. J., Tindall, J. C., and Lunt, D. J.: Simulation of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period using HadGEM3: experimental design and results from modelmodel and modeldata comparison, Clim. Past, 17, 21392163, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2139-2021, 2021.

Cavalheiro, L., Wagner, T., Steinig, S., Cinzia Bottini, Wolf Dummann, Onoriode Esegbue, Gabriele Gambacorta, Victor Giraldo-Gómez, Alexander Farnsworth, Sascha Flögel, Peter Hofmann, Daniel J. Lunt, Janet Rethemeyer, Stefano Torricelli and Elisabetta Erba: Impact of global cooling on Early Cretaceous high pCO2 world during the Weissert Event, Nat Commun 12, 5411, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25706-0 , 2021.

Berntell, E., Zhang, Q., Li, Q., Haywood, A. M., Tindall, J. C., Hunter, S. J., Zhang, Z., Li, X., Guo, C., Nisancioglu, K. H., Stepanek, C., Lohmann, G., Sohl, L. E., Chandler, M. A., Tan, N., Contoux, C., Ramstein, G., Baatsen, M. L. J., von der Heydt, A. S., Chandan, D., Peltier, W. R., Abe-Ouchi, A., Chan, W.-L., Kamae, Y., Williams, C. J. R., Lunt, D. J., Feng, R., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., and Brady, E. C.: Mid-Pliocene West African Monsoon rainfall as simulated in the PlioMIP2 ensemble, Clim. Past, 17, 17771794, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1777-2021, 2021

Burls, N. J., Bradshaw, C. D., De Boer, A. M., Herold, N., Huber, M.; M. Pound, Y. Donnadieu, A. Farnsworth, A. Frigola, E. Gasson, A. S. von der Heydt, D. K. Hutchinson, G. Knorr, K. T. Lawrence, C. H. Lear, X. Li, G. Lohmann, D. J. Lunt, A. Marzocchi, M. Prange, C. A. Riihimaki, A.-C. Sarr, N. Siler, Z. Zhang (2021). Simulating Miocene warmth: Insights from an opportunistic multi-model ensemble (MioMIP1). Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 36, e2020PA004054. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020PA004054

Steinthorsdottir, M., Coxall, H. K., de Boer, A. M., Huber, M., Barbolini, N., Bradshaw, C. D.; N. J. Burls, S. J. Feakins, E. Gasson, J. Henderiks, A. E. Holbourn, S. Kiel, M. J. Kohn, G. Knorr, W. M. Kürschner, C. H. Lear, D. Liebrand, D. J. Lunt, T. Mörs, P. N. Pearson, M. J. Pound, H. Stoll, C. A. E. Strömberg (2021). The Miocene: The future of the past. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 36, e2020PA004037. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020PA004037

de Winter, N.J., Müller, I.A., Kocken, I.J., Thibault, N., Ullmann, C.V., Farnsworth, A., Lunt, D.J., Claeys, P., and Ziegler, M.: Absolute seasonal temperature estimates from clumped isotopes in bivalve shells suggest warm and variable greenhouse climate. Commun Earth Environ 2, 121 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00193-9

Lauretano, V., Kennedy-Asser, A.T., Korasidis, V.A., Wallace, M.W., Valdes, P.J., Lunt, D.J., Pancost, R.D., and Naafs, B.D.A.: Eocene to Oligocene terrestrial Southern Hemisphere cooling caused by declining pCO2. Nat. Geosci. (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00788-z

Valdes, P. J., Scotese, C. R., and Lunt, D. J.: Deep ocean temperatures through time, Clim. Past, 17, 14831506, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-1483-2021, 2021.

Lunt, D. J., Chandan, D., Haywood, A. M., Lunt, G. M., Rougier, J. C., Salzmann, U., Schmidt, G. A., and Valdes, P. J.: Multi-variate factorisation of numerical simulations, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 43074317, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4307-2021, 2021.

Dutta, D., Sherwood, S. C., Meissner, K. J., Gupta, A. S., Lunt, D. J., Tourte, G. J. L., Colman, R., Narsey, S., Fuchs, D., & Brown, J. R. (2021). A Multimodel Investigation of Atmospheric Mechanisms for Driving Arctic Amplification in Warmer Climates, Journal of Climate, 34(14), 5723-5740.

Bradshaw, C.D., Langebroek, P.M., Lear, C.H., Lunt, D.J., Coxall, H.K., Sosdian, S., and de Boer, A., Hydrological impact of Middle Miocene Antarctic ice-free areas coupled to deep ocean temperatures. Nat. Geosci. (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00745-w

Dunne, E.M., Farnsworth, A., Greene, S.E., Lunt, D.J. and Butler, R.J. (2021), Climatic drivers of latitudinal variation in Late Triassic tetrapod diversity. Palaeontology, 64: 101-117. https://doi.org/10.1111/pala.12514

Zhang, Z., Li, X., Guo, C., Otterå, O. H., Nisancioglu, K. H., Tan, N., Contoux, C., Ramstein, G., Feng, R., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Brady, E., Chandan, D., Peltier, W. R., Baatsen, M. L. J., von der Heydt, A. S., Weiffenbach, J. E., Stepanek, C., Lohmann, G., Zhang, Q., Li, Q., Chandler, M. A., Sohl, L. E., Haywood, A. M., Hunter, S. J., Tindall, J. C., Williams, C., Lunt, D. J., Chan, W.-L., and Abe-Ouchi, A.: Mid-Pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated in PlioMIP2, Clim. Past, 17, 529543, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-529-2021, 2021.

Li, Shu-Feng, Valdes, Paul J., Farnsworth, Alex, Davies-Barnard, T., Su, Tao, Lunt, Daniel J., Spicer, Robert A., Liu, Jia, Deng, Wei-Yu-Dong, Huang, Jian, Tang, He, Ridgwell, Andy, Chen, Lin-Lin, and Zhou, Zhe-Kun, Orographic evolution of northern Tibet shaped vegetation and plant diversity in eastern Asia, Science Advances, 7, eabc7741, doi:10.1126/sciadv.abc7741, 2021.

Hutchinson, D. K., Coxall, H. K., Lunt, D. J., Steinthorsdottir, M., de Boer, A. M., Baatsen, M., von der Heydt, A., Huber, M., Kennedy-Asser, A. T., Kunzmann, L., Ladant, J.-B., Lear, C. H., Moraweck, K., Pearson, P. N., Piga, E., Pound, M. J., Salzmann, U., Scher, H. D., Sijp, W. P., Śliwińska, K. K., Wilson, P. A., and Zhang, Z.: The EoceneOligocene transition: a review of marine and terrestrial proxy data, models and modeldata comparisons, Clim. Past, 17, 269315, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-269-2021, 2021.

Lunt, D. J., Bragg, F., Chan, W.-L., Hutchinson, D. K., Ladant, J.-B., Morozova, P., Niezgodzki, I., Steinig, S., Zhang, Z., Zhu, J., Abe-Ouchi, A., Anagnostou, E., de Boer, A. M., Coxall, H. K., Donnadieu, Y., Foster, G., Inglis, G. N., Knorr, G., Langebroek, P. M., Lear, C. H., Lohmann, G., Poulsen, C. J., Sepulchre, P., Tierney, J. E., Valdes, P. J., Volodin, E. M., Dunkley Jones, T., Hollis, C. J., Huber, M., and Otto-Bliesner, B. L.: DeepMIP: model intercomparison of early Eocene climatic optimum (EECO) large-scale climate features and comparison with proxy data, Clim. Past, 17, 203-227, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-203-2021, 2021.


Lear, Caroline H., Pallavi Anand, Tom Blenkinsop, Gavin L. Foster, Mary Gagen, Babette Hoogakker, Robert D. Larter, Daniel J. Lunt, I. Nicholas McCave, Erin McClymont, Richard D. Pancost, Rosalind E.M. Rickaby, David M. Schultz, Colin Summerhayes, Charles J.R. Williams and Jan Zalasiewicz, Geological Society of London Scientific Statement: what the geological record tells us about our present and future climate, Journal of the Geological Society, 178, jgs2020-239, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1144/jgs2020-239 .

Tierney, J.E., Christopher J. Poulsen, Isabel P. Montañez, Tripti Bhattacharya, Ran Feng, Heather L. Ford, Bärbel Hönisch, Gordon N. Inglis, Sierra V. Petersen, Navjit Sagoo, Clay R. Tabor, Kaustubh Thirumalai, Jiang Zhu, Natalie J. Burls, Gavin L. Foster, Yves Goddéris, Brian T. Huber, Linda C. Ivany, Sandra Kirtland Turner, Daniel J. Lunt, Jennifer C. McElwain, Benjamin J. W. Mills, Bette L. Otto-Bliesner, Andy Ridgwell, Yi Ge Zhang. Past climates inform our future, Science, 370, 6517, eaay3701, doi:10.1126/science.aay3701, 2020.

Inglis, G. N., Bragg, F., Burls, N. J., Cramwinckel, M. J., Evans, D., Foster, G. L., Huber, M., Lunt, D. J., Siler, N., Steinig, S., Tierney, J. E., Wilkinson, R., Anagnostou, E., de Boer, A. M., Dunkley Jones, T., Edgar, K. M., Hollis, C. J., Hutchinson, D. K., and Pancost, R. D.: Global mean surface temperature and climate sensitivity of the early Eocene Climatic Optimum (EECO), PaleoceneEocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), and latest Paleocene, Clim. Past, 16, 19531968, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1953-2020, 2020.

Haywood, A. M., Tindall, J. C., Dowsett, H. J., Dolan, A. M., Foley, K. M., Hunter, S. J., Hill, D. J., Chan, W.-L., Abe-Ouchi, A., Stepanek, C., Lohmann, G., Chandan, D., Peltier, W. R., Tan, N., Contoux, C., Ramstein, G., Li, X., Zhang, Z., Guo, C., Nisancioglu, K. H., Zhang, Q., Li, Q., Kamae, Y., Chandler, M. A., Sohl, L. E., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Feng, R., Brady, E. C., von der Heydt, A. S., Baatsen, M. L. J., and Lunt, D. J.: The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: large-scale climate features and climate sensitivity, Clim. Past, 16, 2095-2123, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-2095-2020, 2020.

Anagnostou, E., John, E.H., Babila, T.L. et al. Proxy evidence for state-dependence of climate sensitivity in the Eocene greenhouse. Nat Commun 11, 4436 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17887-x

Chiarenza, A.A, Farnsworth, A., Mannion, P.D., Lunt, D.J., Valdes, P.J., Morgan, J.V., Allison, P.A., Asteroid impact, not volcanism, caused the end-Cretaceous dinosaur extinction, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117, 17084-17093, 10.1073/pnas.2006087117, 2020.

Petryshyn, V.A., Sarah E. Greene, Alex Farnsworth, Daniel J. Lunt, Anne Kelley, Robert Gamariello, Yadira Ibarra, David J. Bottjer, Aradhna Tripati, Frank A. Corsetti, The role of temperature in the initiation of the end-Triassic mass extinction, Earth Science Reviews, 208, 103266, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103266

Williams, C.J.R., Guarino, M.-V., Capron, E., Malmierca-Vallet, I., Singarayer, J.S., Sime, L.C., Lunt, D.J., and Valdes, P.J.: CMIP6/PMIP4 simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Interglacial using HadGEM3: comparison to the pre-industrial era, previous model versions and proxy data, Clim. Past, 16, 1429-1450, 2020.

Kennedy-Asser, A. T., Lunt, D. J., Valdes, P. J., Ladant, J.-B., Frieling, J., and Lauretano, V.: Changes in the high-latitude Southern Hemisphere through the EoceneOligocene transition: a model-data comparison, Clim. Past, 16, 555-573, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-555-2020, 2020.

Lyster, SJ, Whittaker, AC, Allison, PA, Lunt, DJ, Farnsworth, A. Predicting sediment discharges and erosion rates in deep timeexamples from the late Cretaceous North American continent. Basin Res. 2020; 00: 1 27. https://doi.org/10.1111/bre.12442

Saupe, E.E., Qiao, H., Donnadieu, Y., Alexander Farnsworth, Alan T. Kennedy-Asser, Jean-Baptiste Ladant, Daniel J. Lunt, Alexandre Pohl, Paul Valdes & Seth Finnegan. Extinction intensity during Ordovician and Cenozoic glaciations explained by cooling and palaeogeography. Nat. Geosci., 13, 65-70 (2020). doi:10.1038/s41561-019-0504-6

Adloff, M., Sarah E. Greene, Ian J. Parkinson, B. David A. Naafs, Will Preston, Andy Ridgwell, Daniel J. Lunt, Jose Manuel Castro Jimenez, Fanny M. Monteiro: Unraveling the sources of carbon emissions at the onset of Oceanic Anoxic Event (OAE) 1a, EPSL, 530, 115947, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2019.115947

Inglis, G.N., Matthew J. Carmichael, Alexander Farnsworth, Daniel J. Lunt, , and Richard D. Pancost: A long-term, high-latitude record of Eocene hydrological change in the Greenland region, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 537, 109378, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2019.109378

Bowen Song, Robert A. Spicer, Kexin Zhang, Junliang Ji, Alexander Farnsworth, Alice C. Hughes, Yibo Yang, Fang Han, Yadong Xu, Teresa Spicer, Tianyi Shen, Daniel J. Lunt, Gongle Shi (2020). Qaidam Basin leaf fossils show northeastern Tibet was high, wet and cool in the early Oligocene. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 537, 116175, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2020.116175.


Inglis, G.N., Alexander Farnsworth, Margaret E. Collinson, Matthew J. Carmichael, B. David A. Naafs, Daniel J. Lunt, Paul J Valdes, and Richard D. Pancost: Terrestrial environmental change across the onset of the PETM and the associated impact on biomarker proxies: a cautionary tale, Global and Planetary Change, 181, 102991, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.102991, 2019.

Saupe, E., Alexander Farnsworth, Daniel J. Lunt, Navjit Sagoo, Karen V. Pham, Daniel J. Field. Climatic shifts drove major contractions in avian latitudinal distributions throughout the Cenozoic Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2019), 116 (26) 12895-12900; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1903866116

Marzocchi, A., Flecker, R., Lunt, D. J., Krijgsman, W., & Hilgen, F. J. (2019). Precessional drivers of late Miocene Mediterranean sedimentary sequences: African summer monsoon and Atlantic winter storm tracks. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 34, 1980-1994. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019PA003721

Farnsworth, A., Lunt, D. J., Robinson, S.A., Valdes, P.J., Roberts, W.H.G., Clift, P.D., Markwick, P., Su, T., Wrobel, N., Bragg, F., Kelland, S.J., Pancost, R.D. (2019). Past East Asian monsoon evolution controlled by paleogeography, not CO2. Science Advances, 5, 10, eaax1697 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aax1697.

Farnsworth, A., Lunt, D. J., O'Brien, C. L., Foster, G. L., Inglis, G. N., Markwick, P., et al. (2019). Climate sensitivity on geological timescales controlled by nonlinear feedbacks and ocean circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 9880-9889. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083574.

Hollis, C. J., Dunkley Jones, T., Anagnostou, E., Bijl, P. K., Cramwinckel, M. J., Cui, Y., Dickens, G. R., Edgar, K. M., Eley, Y., Evans, D., Foster, G. L., Frieling, J., Inglis, G. N., Kennedy, E. M., Kozdon, R., Lauretano, V., Lear, C. H., Littler, K., Lourens, L., Meckler, A. N., Naafs, B. D. A., Pälike, H., Pancost, R. D., Pearson, P. N., Röhl, U., Royer, D. L., Salzmann, U., Schubert, B. A., Seebeck, H., Sluijs, A., Speijer, R. P., Stassen, P., Tierney, J., Tripati, A., Wade, B., Westerhold, T., Witkowski, C., Zachos, J. C., Zhang, Y. G., Huber, M., and Lunt, D. J.: The DeepMIP contribution to PMIP4: methodologies for selection, compilation and analysis of latest Paleocene and early Eocene climate proxy data, incorporating version 0.1 of the DeepMIP database, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 3149-3206, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3149-2019, 2019.

Harland, M., P. Valdes, D.J. Lunt, J.E. Francis, A. Farnsworth, C. Loptson, D.J.Beerling, P.J.Markwick: Evaluating Northern High Latitude Paleoclimate Model Results Using Paleobotanical Evidence from the Middle Cretaceous, in Latitudinal Controls on Stratigraphic Models and Sedimentary Concepts, SEPM (Society for Sedimentary Geology) Special Publications, 10.2110/sepmsp.108.08 .

Chiarenza, A.A., Mannion, P.D., Lunt, D.J., Farnsworth, A., Jones, L.A., Kelland, S.-J., Allison, P.A., Ecological niche modelling does not support climatically-driven dinosaur diversity decline before the Cretaceous/Paleogene mass extinction, in press, Nature Communications, 10, 1091, 2019, 10.1038/s41467-019-08997-2.

Frieling, J., Peterse, F., Lunt, D. J.,Bohaty, S. M., Sinninghe Damsté, J. S.,Reichart, G.‐J., & Sluijs, A. (2019). Widespread warming before and elevated barium burial during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: Evidence for methane hydrate release?. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 34, 546566. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018PA003425.

Robinson, S.A., Dickson, A.J., Pain, A., Jenkyns, H.C., O'Brien, C.L., Farnsworth, A., and Lunt, D.J., Southern Hemisphere sea-surface temperatures during the Cenomanian-Turonian: Implications for the termination of Oceanic Anoxic Event 2. Geology, 47, 131-134, 2019.

Kennedy-Asser, A.T., Lunt, D.J., Farnsworth, A., and Valdes, P.J.: Assessing mechanisms and uncertainty in modelled climatic change at the Eocene-Oligocene transition. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 34, 16-34, 2019.


Shufeng Li, Yaowu Xing, Paul J Valdes, Yongjiang Huang, Tao Su, Alex Farnsworth, Daniel J. Lunt, He Tang, Alan T. Kennedy, Zhekun Zhou: Oligocene climate signals and forcings in Eurasia revealed by plant macrofossil and modelling results, Gondwana Research, 61, 115-127, 2018, 10.1016/j.gr.2018.04.015 .

Burke, K.D., Williams, J.W., Chandler, M.A., Haywood, A.M., Lunt, D.J., and Otto-Bliesner, B.L.: Pliocene and Eocene provide best analogs for near-future climates, PNAS, 115, 13288-13293, 2018, 10.1073/pnas.1809600115 .

Carmichael, M.J, Pancost, R.D., Lunt, D.J. : Changes in the occurrence of extreme precipitation events at the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 501, 24-36, 2018.

Fischer H, Meissner KJ, Mix AC, Abram NJ, Austermann J, Brovkin V, Capron E, Colombaroli D, Daniau A-L, Dyez KA, Felis T, Finkelstein SA, Jaccard SL, McClymont EL, Rovere A, Sutter J, Wolff EW, Affolter S, Bakker P, Ballesteros-Cánovas JA, Barbante C, Caley T, Carlson AE, Churakova (Sidorova) O, Cortese G, Cumming BF, Davis BAS, de Vernal A, Emile-Geay J, Fritz SC, Gierz P, Gottschalk J, Holloway MD, Joos F, Kucera, M, Loutre M-F, Lunt DJ, Marcisz K, Marlon JR, Martinez P, Masson-Delmotte V, Nehrbass-Ahles C, Otto-Bliesner BL, Raible CC, Risebrobakken B, Sánchez Goñi MF, Saleem Arrigo J, Sarnthein M, Sjolte J, Stocker TF, Velasquez Alvárez PA, Tinner W, Valdes PJ, Vogel H, Wanner H, Yan Q, Yu Z, Ziegler M and Zhou L : Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond, Nature Geoscience, 11, 474-485, 2018.

Kageyama, M., Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P., Haywood, A. M., Jungclaus, J. H., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albani, S., Bartlein, P. J., Brierley, C., Crucifix, M., Dolan, A., Fernandez-Donado, L., Fischer, H., Hopcroft, P. O., Ivanovic, R. F., Lambert, F., Lunt, D. J., Mahowald, N. M., Peltier, W. R., Phipps, S. J., Roche, D. M., Schmidt, G. A., Tarasov, L., Valdes, P. J., Zhang, Q., and Zhou, T.: The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 Part 1: Overview and over-arching analysis plan, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 1033-1057, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1033-2018, 2018.

Naafs, BD, Rohrssen, M, Inglis, GN, Lähteenoja, O, Feakins, SJ, Collinson, ME, Kennedy, EM, Singh, PK, Singh, MP, Lunt, DJ & Pancost, RD, 2018, ‘High temperatures in the terrestrial mid-latitudes during the early Palaeogene’. Nature Geoscience.

Lindborg, T., Thorne, M., Andersson, E., Becker, J., Brandefelt, J., Cabianca, T., Gunia, M., Ikonen, A.T.K., Johansson, E., Kangasniemi, V., Kautsky, U., Kirchner, G., Klos, R., Kowe, R., Kontula, A., Kupiainen, P., Lahdenperä, A.M., Lord, N.S., Lunt, D.J., Näslund, J.O., Nordén, M., Norris, S., Pérez-Sánchez, D., Proverbio, A., Riekki, K., Rübel, A., Sweeck, L., Walke, R., Xu, S., Smith, G. & Pröhl, G. : Climate change and landscape development in post-closure safety assessment of solid radioactive waste disposal: Results of an initiative of the IAEA, Journal of Environmental Radioactivity. 183, 41-53, 2018.

Panitz, S., Salzmann, U., Risebrobakken, B., De Schepper, S., Pound, M.J., Haywood, A.M., Dolan, A.M., Lunt, D.J.: Orbital, tectonic and oceanographic controls on Pliocene climate and atmospheric circulation in Arctic Norway. Global and Planetary Change, 161, 183-193, 2018.


O'Brien, C.L., Robinson, S.A., Pancost, R.D., Sinninghe Damsté, J.S., Schouten, S., Lunt, D.J., Alsenz, H., Bornemann, A., Bottini, C., Brassell, S.C., Farnsworth, A., Forster, A., Huber, B.T., Inglis, G.N., Jenkyns, H.C., Linnert, C., Littler, K., Markwick, P., McAnena, A., Mutterlose, J., Naafs, B.D.A., Püttmann, W., Sluijs, A., van Helmond, N.A.G.M., Vellekoop, J., Wagner, T. and Wrobel, N.E.: Cretaceous sea-surface temperature evolution: Constraints from TEX86 and planktonic foraminiferal oxygen isotopes, Earth Science Reviews, 172, 224-247, 2017.

Joshi, M., R. von Glasow, R. S. Smith,C. G. M. Paxton, A. C. Maycock, D. J. Lunt,C. Loptson, and P. Markwick (2017),Global warming and oceanstratification: A potential result of largeextraterrestrial impacts, Geophys. Res.Lett., 44, 3841-3848, doi:10.1002/2017GL073330.

Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P., Lunt, D. J., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albani, S., Bartlein, P. J., Capron, E., Carlson, A. E., Dutton, A., Fischer, H., Goelzer, H., Govin, A., Haywood, A., Joos, F., LeGrande, A. N., Lipscomb, W. H., Lohmann, G., Mahowald, N., Nehrbass-Ahles, C., Pausata, F. S. R., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Phipps, S. J., Renssen, H., and Zhang, Q.: The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 Part 2: Two interglacials, scientific objective and experimental design for Holocene and Last Interglacial simulations, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 3979-4003, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-3979-2017, 2017.

Kageyama, M., Albani, S., Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P., Hopcroft, P. O., Ivanovic, R. F., Lambert, F., Marti, O., Peltier, W. R., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Roche, D. M., Tarasov, L., Zhang, X., Brady, E. C., Haywood, A. M., LeGrande, A. N., Lunt, D. J., Mahowald, N. M., Mikolajewicz, U., Nisancioglu, K. H., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Renssen, H., Tomas, R. A., Zhang, Q., Abe-Ouchi, A., Bartlein, P. J., Cao, J., Li, Q., Lohmann, G., Ohgaito, R., Shi, X., Volodin, E., Yoshida, K., Zhang, X., and Zheng, W.: The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 Part 4: Scientific objectives and experimental design of the PMIP4-CMIP6 Last Glacial Maximum experiments and PMIP4 sensitivity experiments, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4035-4055, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4035-2017, 2017.

Rachmayani, R., Prange, M., Lunt, D.J., Stone, E.J., and Schulz, M. (2017).Sensitivity of the Greenland Ice Sheet to interglacial climate forcing: MIS 5eversus MIS 11. Paleoceanography, 32. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017PA003149.

Lord, N. S., Crucifix, M., Lunt, D. J., Thorne, M. C., Bounceur, N., Dowsett, H., O'Brien, C. L., and Ridgwell, A.: Emulation of long-term changes in global climate: application to the late Pliocene and future, Clim. Past, 13, 1539-1571, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1539-2017, 2017.

Valdes, P. J., Armstrong, E., Badger, M. P. S., Bradshaw, C. D., Bragg, F., Crucifix, M., Davies-Barnard, T., Day, J. J., Farnsworth, A., Gordon, C., Hopcroft, P. O., Kennedy, A. T., Lord, N. S., Lunt, D. J., Marzocchi, A., Parry, L. M., Pope, V., Roberts, W. H. G., Stone, E. J., Tourte, G. J. L., and Williams, J. H. T.: The BRIDGE HadCM3 family of climate models: HadCM3@Bristol v1.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 3715-3743, 2017.

Carmichael, M.J., Inglis, G.N., Badger, M.P.S., Naafs, B.D.A., Behrooz, L., Remmelzwaal, S., Monteiro, F.M., Rohrssen, M., Farnsworth, A., Buss, H.L., Dickson, A.J., Valdes, P.V., Lunt, D.J. and Pancost, R.D., Hydrological and associated biogeochemical consequences of rapid global warming during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. Global and Planetary Change, 157, 114-138, 2017.

Simon, D., A. Marzocchi, R. Flecker, D.J. Lunt, F.J. Hilgen, P. Th. Meijer, Quantifying the Mediterranean freshwater budget throughout the late Miocene: New implications for sapropel formation and the Messinian Salinity Crisis, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 472, 25-37, 2017.

Foster, G.L., Royer, D.L. ,and Lunt, D.J., Future climate forcing potentially without precedent in the last 420 million years. Nature Communications, 8, 14845 doi: 10.1038/ncomms14845, 2017.

Lunt, D. J., Huber, M., Anagnostou, E., Baatsen, M. L. J., Caballero, R., DeConto, R., Dijkstra, H. A., Donnadieu, Y., Evans, D., Feng, R., Foster, G. L., Gasson, E., von der Heydt, A. S., Hollis, C. J., Inglis, G. N., Jones, S. M., Kiehl, J., Kirtland Turner, S., Korty, R. L., Kozdon, R., Krishnan, S., Ladant, J.-B., Langebroek, P., Lear, C. H., LeGrande, A. N., Littler, K., Markwick, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Pearson, P., Poulsen, C. J., Salzmann, U., Shields, C., Snell, K., Stärz, M., Super, J., Tabor, C., Tierney, J. E., Tourte, G. J. L., Tripati, A., Upchurch, G. R., Wade, B. S., Wing, S. L., Winguth, A. M. E., Wright, N. M., Zachos, J. C., and Zeebe, R. E.: The DeepMIP contribution to PMIP4: experimental design for model simulations of the EECO, PETM, and pre-PETM (version 1.0), Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 889-901, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-889-2017, 2017.

S.A. Robinson, M. Ruhl, D. Astley, D.A. Naafs, A.J. Farnsworth, P.R. Bown, H. C. Jenkyns, D.J. Lunt, C. O'Brien , R.D. Pancost, P.J. Markwick. Early Jurassic North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures from TEX86 palaeothermometry, Sedimentology, 64, 215-230, 2017.

Mayser, JP, Flecker, R, Marzocchi, A, Kouwenhoven, T, Lunt, D & Pancost, R 2017, 'Precession driven changes in terrestrial organic matter input to the Eastern Mediterranean leading up to the Messinian Salinity Crisis' Earth and Planetary Science Letters, vol 462, pp. 199-211. DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2017.01.029

Inglis, G.N., M.E. Collinson, W. Riegel, V. Wilde, A. Farnsworth, D.J. Lunt, P. Valdes, B.E. Robson, A.C. Scott, O.K. Lenz, B.D.A. Naafs, R.D. Pancost. Mid-latitude continental temperatures through the early Eocene in western Europe, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 460, 86-96, 2017.


A. Marzocchi, R. Flecker, C.G.C. van Baak, D.J. Lunt, W. Krijgsman. Mediterranean outflow pump: an alternative mechanism for the Lago-mare and the end of the Messinian Salinity Crisis, in press, Geology, doi: 10.1130/G37646.1.

C.R. Tabor, C.J. Poulsen, D.J. Lunt, N.A. Rosenbloom, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, P.J. Markwick, E.C. Brady, A. Farnsworth, and R. Feng, The cause of Late Cretaceous cooling: a multi-model/proxy comparison, Geology, 44, 963-966, 2016.

Stone, E. J., Capron, E., Lunt, D. J., Payne, A. J., Singarayer, J. S., Valdes, P. J., and Wolff, E. W.: Impact of meltwater on high-latitude early Last Interglacial climate, Clim. Past, 12, 1919-1932, doi:10.5194/cp-12-1919-2016, 2016.

Armstrong, H.A., T. Wagner, L.G. Herringshaw, A.J. Farnsworth, D.J. Lunt, M. Harland, J. Imber, C. Loptson, and E.F.L. Atar, Hadley circulation and precipitation changes controling black shale deposition in the Late Jurassic Boreal Seaway, Paleoceanography, 31, 10411053, doi:10.1002/ 2015PA002911, 2016.

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Anagnostou, E., John, E.H., Edgar, K.M., Foster, G.L., Ridgwell, A., Inglis, G.N., Pancost, R.D., Lunt, D.J., Pearson, P.N.: Changing atmospheric CO2 concentration was the primary driver of early Cenozoic climate, Nature, doi:10.1038/nature17423, 2016.

Haywood, A. M., Dowsett, H. J., Dolan, A. M., Rowley, D., Abe-Ouchi, A., Otto-Bliesner, B., Chandler, M. A., Hunter, S. J., Lunt, D. J., Pound, M., and Salzmann, U.: The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) Phase 2: scientific objectives and experimental design, Clim. Past, 12, 663-675, doi:10.5194/cp-12-663-2016, 2016.

Fenton, I.S., P.N. Pearson, T. Dunkley Jones, A. Farnsworth, D.J. Lunt, P. Markwick and A. Purvis. The impact of Cenozoic cooling on assemblage diversity in planktonic foraminifera, Phil Trans B., 371, 20150224, 2016.

Carmichael, M. J., Lunt, D. J., Huber, M., Heinemann, M., Kiehl, J., LeGrande, A., Loptson, C. A., Roberts, C. D., Sagoo, N., Shields, C., Valdes, P. J., Winguth, A., Winguth, C., and Pancost, R. D.: A model-model and data-data comparison for the early Eocene hydrological cycle, Clim. Past, 12, 455-481, 2016

Lord, N. S., A. Ridgwell, M. C. Thorne, and D. J. Lunt, An impulse response function for the “long tail” of excess atmospheric CO2 in an Earth system model, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 30, 217, doi:10.1002/2014GB005074, 2016.


R. Flecker, W. Krijgsman, W. Capella, C. de Castro Martins, E. Dmitrieva, J. P. Mayser, A. Marzocchi, S. Modestu, D.O. Lozano, D. Simon, M. Tulbure, B. van den Berg, M. van der Schee, G. de Lange, R. Ellam, R. Govers, M. Gutjahr, F. Hilgen, T. Kouwenhoven, J. Lofi, P. Meijer, F. J. Sierro, N. Bachiri, N. Barhoun, A. Chakor Alami, B. Chacon, J.A. Flores, J. Gregory, J. Howard, D. Lunt, M. Ochoa, R. Pancost, S. Vincent, M.Z. Yousfi: Evolution of the Late Miocene Mediterranean-Atlantic gateways and their impact on regional and global environmental change, Earth Science Reviews, 150, 365-392, 2015.

Jennions, S. M., E. Thomas, D. N. Schmidt, D. Lunt, and A. Ridgwell : Changes in benthic ecosystems and ocean circulation in the Southeast Atlantic across Eocene Thermal Maximum 2. Paleoceanography, 30, 1059-1077. doi: 10.1002/2015PA002821, 2015.

Lear, C. H., H. K. Coxall, G. L. Foster, D. J. Lunt, E. M. Mawbey, Y. Rosenthal, S. M. Sosdian, E. Thomas, and P. A. Wilson: Neogene ice volume and ocean temperatures: Insights from infaunal foraminiferal Mg/Ca paleothermometry, Paleoceanography, 30, 14371454, doi:10.1002/2015PA002833, 2015.

Lord, N.S., Ridgwell, A., Thorne, M. and Lunt, D.J. : The 'long tail' of anthropogenic CO2 decline in the atmosphere and its consequences for post-closure performance assessments for disposal of radioactive wastes, Mineralogical Magazine, 79, 1613-1623, 2015.

G.N. Inglis, A. Farnsworth, D. Lunt, G.L. Foster, C.J. Hollis, M. Pagani, P.E. Jardine, P.N. Pearson, P. Markwick, L. Raynman, A.M.J. Galsworthy, and R.D. Pancost : Descent towards the Icehouse: Eocene sea surface cooling inferred from GDGT distributions, Paleoceanography, 30, doi:10.1002/2014PA002723, 2015.

Kennedy, A.T.; Farnsworth, A.; Lunt, D.J.; Lear, C.H., Atmospheric and oceanic impacts of Antarctic glaciation across the Eocene-Oligocene transition, Phil Trans A, 373:20140419, doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0419, 2015.

Marzocchi, A., Lunt, D. J., Flecker, R., Bradshaw, C. D., Farnsworth, A., and Hilgen, F. J.: Orbital control on late Miocene climate and the North African monsoon: insight from an ensemble of sub-precessional simulations, Clim. Past, 11, 1271-1295, doi:10.5194/cp-11-1271-2015, 2015.

Dolan, A. M., Hunter, S. J., Hill, D. J., Haywood, A. M., Koenig, S. J., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Abe-Ouchi, A., Bragg, F., Chan, W.-L., Chandler, M. A., Contoux, C., Jost, A., Kamae, Y., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D. J., Ramstein, G., Rosenbloom, N. A., Sohl, L., Stepanek, C., Ueda, H., Yan, Q., and Zhang, Z.: Using results from the PlioMIP ensemble to investigate the Greenland Ice Sheet during the mid-Pliocene Warm Period, Clim. Past, 11, 403-424, doi:10.5194/cp-11-403-2015, 2015.

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Martinez-Boti, M.A., Foster, G.L., Chalk, T.B., Rohling, E.J., Sexton, P.F., Lunt, D.J., Pancost, R.D., Badger, M.P.S., Schmidt. D.N., Plio-Pleistocene climate sensitivity evaluated using high-resolution CO2 records. Nature, 518, 2015, [doi:10.1038/nature14145]

Bradshaw, C.D., Lunt, D.J., Flecker, R., Davies-Barnard, T., Disentangling the roles of late Miocene palaeogeography and vegetation - Implications for climate sensitivity, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 417, 17-34, 2015.


Irvine, P. J., Boucher, O., Kravitz, B., Alterskjaer, K., Cole, J. N. S., Ji, D., Jones, A., Lunt, D. J., Moore, J. C., Muri, H., Niemeier, U., Robock, A., Singh, B., Tilmes, S., Watanabe, S., Yang, S. & Yoon, J-H.: Key factors governing uncertainty in the response to sunshade geoengineering from a comparison of the GeoMIP ensemble and a perturbed parameter ensemble, Journal of Geophysical Research, Atmospheres. 119, 13, 2013JD020716, 2014.

Bakker, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Martrat, B., Charbit, S., Renssen, H., Groeger, M., Krebs-Kanzow, U., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D. J., Pfeiffer, M., Phipps, S. J., Prange, M., Ritz, S. P., Schulz, M., Stenni, B., Stone, E. J. & Varma, V.: Temperature trends during the Present and Last Interglacial periods - a multi-model-data comparison, Quaternary Science Reviews, 99, 224-243, 2014.

Gasson, E., Lunt, D. J., DeConto, R., Goldner, A., Heinemann, M., Huber, M., LeGrande, A. N., Pollard, D., Sagoo, N., Siddall, M., Winguth, A., and Valdes, P. J.: Uncertainties in the modelled CO2 threshold for Antarctic glaciation, Clim. Past, 10, 451-466, doi:10.5194/cp-10-451-2014, 2014.

Loptson, C. A., Lunt, D. J., and Francis, J. E.: Investigating vegetation-climate feedbacks during the early Eocene, Clim. Past, 10, 419-436, doi:10.5194/cp-10-419-2014, 2014.

Hill, D. J., Haywood, A. M., Lunt, D. J., Hunter, S. J., Bragg, F. J., Contoux, C., Stepanek, C., Sohl, L., Rosenbloom, N. A., Chan, W.-L., Kamae, Y., Zhang, Z., Abe-Ouchi, A., Chandler, M. A., Jost, A., Lohmann, G., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Ramstein, G., and Ueda, H.: Evaluating the dominant components of warming in Pliocene climate simulations, Clim. Past, 10, 79-90, [doi:10.5194/cp-10-79-2014]


Dunkley Jones, T., Lunt, D.J., Schmidt, D.N., Ridgwell, A., Sluijs, A., Valdes, P.J., Maslin, M., Climate model and proxy data constraints on ocean warming across the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, Earth Science Reviews, 125, 123-145, 2013.

Salzmann, U., Dolan, A.M., Haywood, A.M., Chan, W.-L., Voss, J., Hill, D., Abe-Ouchi, A., Otto-Bliesner, B., Bragg, F.J., Chandler, M.A., Contoux, C., Dowsett, H.J., Jost, A., Kamae, Y., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D.J., Pickering, S.J., Pound, M.J., Ramstein, G., Rosenbloom, N.A., Sohl, L., Stepamek, C., Ueda, H., Zhang, Z., Challenges in quantifying Pliocene terrestrial warming revealed by data-model discord, Nature Climate Change, 3, 969-974, 2013.

Hill, D.J., A.M. Haywood, P.J. Valdes, J.E. Francis, D.J. Lunt, B.S. Wade, V.C. Bowman. Paleogeographic controls on the onset of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 5199-5204, 2013.

Lunt, D.J., Elderfield, H., Pancost, R., Ridgwell, A., Foster, G.L., Haywood, A., Kiehl, J., Sagoo, N., Shields, C., Stone, E.J., Valdes, P., Warm climates of the past - a lesson for the future?, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A., 2013, 371, 20130146; doi:10.1098/rsta.2013.0146 [pdf - Open Access].

Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Rosenbloom, N., Stone, E. J., McKay, N., Lunt, D., Brady, E. C., Overpeck, J., How well do models reproduce Last Interglacial warmth? new model-data comparisons, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A., 2013, 371, 20130097; doi:10.1098/rsta.2013.0097 [pdf].

Haywood, A.M., Dolan, A.M., Pickering, S.J., Dowsett, H.J., McClymont, E.L., Prescott, C.L., Salzmann, U., Hill, D.J., Lunt, D.J., Pope, J.O., Valdes, P.J., On the identification of a Pliocene time slice for data-model comparison, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A., 2013, 371, 20120515; doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0515 [pdf - Open Access].

Irvine, P. J., Gregoire, L. J., Lunt, D. J., and Valdes, P. J.: An efficient method to generate a perturbed parameter ensemble of a fully coupled AOGCM without flux-adjustment, Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 1447-1462, [doi:10.5194/gmd-6-1447-2013], 2013.

Kravitz, B., K. Caldeira, O. Boucher, A. Robock, P.J. Rasch, K. Alterskaer, D. Bou Karam, J.N.S. Cole, C.L. Curry, J.M. Haywood, P.J. Irvine, D, Ji, A. Jones, J.E. Kristjansson, D.J. Lunt, J.C. Moore, U. Niemeier, H. Schmidt, M. Schulz, B. Singh, S. Tilmes, S. Watanabe, S. Yang, J.-H. Yoon, Climate model response from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP), Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 118, 1-13 [doi:10.1002/jgrd.50646], 2013.

Zhang, Z.-S., Nisancioglu, K. H., Chandler, M. A., Haywood, A. M., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Ramstein, G., Stepanek, C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Chan, W.-L., Bragg, F. J., Contoux, C., Dolan, A. M., Hill, D. J., Jost, A., Kamae, Y., Lohmann, G., Lunt, D. J., Rosenbloom, N. A., Sohl, L. E., and Ueda, H.: Mid-pliocene Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation not unlike modern, Clim. Past, 9, 1495-1504, [doi:10.5194/cp-9-1495-2013], 2013.

Dowsett, H.J., K.M. Foley, D.K. Stoll, M.A. Chandler, L.E. Sohl, M. Bentsen, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, F.J. Bragg, W.-L. Chan, C. Contoux, A.M. Dolan, A.M. Haywood, J.A. Jonas, A. Jost, Y. Kamae, G. Lohmann, D.J. Lunt, K.H. Nisancioglu, A. Abe-Ouchi, G. Ramstein, C.R. Riesselman, M.M. Robinson, N.A. Rosenbloom, U. Salzmann, C. Stepanek, S.L. Strother, H. Ueda, Q. Yan, Z. Zhang, Sea Surface Temperature of the mid-Piacenzian Ocean: A Data-Model Comparison, Scientific Reports, 3, [doi:10.1038/srep02013], 2013.

Stone, E.J. and Lunt D.J., The role of vegetation feedbacks on Greenland glaciation, Climate Dynamics, 40, 2671-2686, 2013. [doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1390-4].

Lunt, D. J., Abe-Ouchi, A., Bakker, P., Berger, A., Braconnot, P., Charbit, S., Fischer, N., Herold, N., Jungclaus, J. H., Khon, V. C., Krebs-Kanzow, U., Langebroek, P. M., Lohmann, G., Nisancioglu, K. H., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Park, W., Pfeiffer, M., Phipps, S. J., Prange, M., Rachmayani, R., Renssen, H., Rosenbloom, N., Schneider, B., Stone, E. J., Takahashi, K., Wei, W., Yin, Q., and Zhang, Z. S.: A multi-model assessment of last interglacial temperatures, Clim. Past, 9, 699-717, [doi:10.5194/cp-9-699-2013], 2013.

Stone, E. J., Lunt, D. J., Annan, J. D., and Hargreaves, J. C.: Quantification of the Greenland ice sheet contribution to Last Interglacial sea level rise, Clim. Past, 9, 621-639, [doi:10.5194/cp-9-621-2013], 2013.

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Lunt, D. J., Dunkley Jones, T., Heinemann, M., Huber, M., LeGrande, A., Winguth, A., Loptson, C., Marotzke, J., Roberts, C. D., Tindall, J., Valdes, P., and Winguth, C. (2012). A model-data comparison for a multi-model ensemble of early Eocene atmosphere-ocean simulations: EoMIP, Clim. Past, 8, 1717-1736. [doi:10.5194/cp-8-1717-2012].

Bragg, F. J., Lunt, D. J., and Haywood, A. M. (2012). Mid-Pliocene climate modelled using the UK Hadley Centre Model: PlioMIP Experiments 1 and 2, Geosci. Model Dev., 5, 1109-1125, [doi:10.5194/gmd-5-1109-2012].

Bradshaw, C.D., Lunt, D.J., Flecker, R, Salzmann, U., Pound, M.J., Haywood, A.M., Eronen, J.T (2012). The relative roles of CO2 and palaeogeography in determining late Miocene climate: results from a terrestrial model-data comparison. Clim. Past, 8, 1257-1285. [doi:10.5194/cp-8-1257-2012]. [And see corrected Figures 7-16 in Corrigendum]. [And see a further Corrigendum].

Scheiter, S, Higgins, S.I., Osborne, C.P., Bradshaw, C.D., Lunt, D., Ripley, B.S., Taylor, L.L., Beerling, D.J. (2012). Fire and fire-adapted vegetation promote C4 expansion in the Late Miocene. New Phytologist, 195, 653-666.

Dowsett, HJ, Robinson, M.M., Haywood, AM, Hill, D.J., Dolan, A.M., Stoll, D.K., Chan, W.-L., Abe-Ouchi, A., Chandler, M.A., Rosenbloom, N.A., Otto-Bleisner, B.L., Bragg, FJ, Lunt, DJ, Foley, K.M. & Riesselman, C.R. (2012). Assessing confidence in Pliocene sea surface temperatures to evaluate predictive models. Nature Climate Change, 2, 365-371. [doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE1455].

Lunt, D.J, Haywood, A.M., Schmidt, G.A., Salzmann, U., Valdes, P.J., Dowsett, D.J., Loptson, C.A. (2012). On the causes of mid-Pliocene warmth and polar amplification. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 321-322, 128-138.

Gasson, E., Siddall, M., Lunt, D.J., Rackham, O.J.L., Lear, C.H., Pollard, D. (2012). Exploring uncertainties in the relationship between temperature, ice volume, and sea level over the past 50 million years. Rev. Geophys., 50, RG1005 [doi:10.1029/2011RG000358].

Zhang, X., Prange, M., Steph, S., Butzin, M., Krebs, U., Lunt, D.J., Nisancioglu, K.H., Park, W., Schmittner, A., Schneider, B., Schulz, M. (2012). Changes in equatorial Pacific thermocline depth in response to Panamanian Seaway closure: Insights from a multi-model study, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 317-318, 76-84.

Beerling, D.J., Taylor, L.L., Bradshaw, C.D.C., Lunt, D.J., Valdes, P.J., Banwart, S.A., Pagani, M., Leake J.R. (2012). Ecosystem CO2 starvation and terrestrial silicate weathering: mechanisms and global-scale quantification during the late Miocene, Journal of Ecology, 100, 31-41.


Irvine, P.J., Ridgwell, A., Lunt, D.J. (2011). Climatic effects of surface albedo geoengineering, Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, D24112.

Lunt, D.J., Ridgwell, A., Sluijs, A., Zachos, J., Hunter, S. Haywood, A. (2011). A model for orbital pacing of methane hydrate destabilization during the Palaeogene, Nature Geoscience, 4, 775-778. [doi:10.1038/ngeo1266].

Pope, J.O., M. Collins, A.M. Haywood, H.J. Dowsett, S.J. Hunter, D.J. Lunt, S.J. Pickering, M.J. Pound (2011). Quantifying Uncertainty in Model Predictions for the Pliocene (Plio-QUMP): Initial Results. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309, 128-140. [doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2011.05.004].

Hill, D.J., A.Z. Csank, A.M. Dolan, D.J. Lunt (2011). Pliocene climate variability: Northern Annular Mode in models and tree-ring data. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309, 118-127. [doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2011.04.003].

Dowsett, H.J., A.M. Haywood, P.J. Valdes, M.M. Robinson, D.J. Lunt, D. Hill, D.K. Stoll and K.M. Foley (2011). Sea Surface Temperatures of the Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period: A Comparison of PRISM3 and HadCM3. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309, 83-91. [doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2011.03.016 ].

Dolan, A.M.,A.M. Haywood, D.J. Hill, H.J. Dowsett, S.J. Hunter, D.J. Lunt and S.J. Pickering (2011). Sensitivity of Pliocene Ice Sheets to Orbital Forcing. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 309, 98-110. [doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2011.03.030 ].

Haywood, A.M., H.J. Dowsett, M.M. Robinson, D.K. Stoll, A.M. Dolan, D.J. Lunt, B. Otto-Bliesner, and M.A. Chandler (2011). Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP): experimental design and boundary conditions (Experiment 2). Geoscientific Model Development, 4, 571-577.

Haywood, A.M., Ridgwell, A., Lunt, D.J., Hill, D.J., Pound, M., Dowsett, H.J., Dolan, A.M., Francis, J.E., Williams, M. (2011). Are there pre-Quaternary geological analogues for a future greenhouse warming? Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 369, 933-956.

Shannon, S., Lunt, D.J. (2011). A new dust cycle model with dynamic vegetation: LPJ-dust version 1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 4, 85-105.

Pound, M.J., Haywood, A.M., Salzmann, U., Riding, J.B., Lunt, D.J., Hunter, S.J. (2011). A Tortonian (Late Miocene 11.61 - 7.25 Ma) global vegetation reconstruction. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 300, 29-45. [doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2010.11.029].


Foster, G.L., Lunt, D.J., Parrish, R.R. (2010). Mountain uplift and the glaciation of North America - a sensitivity study. Climate of the Past, 6, 707-717. [doi:10.5194/cp-6-707-2010].

Lunt, D.J., Flecker, R., Clift, P.D. (2010). The impacts of Tibetan uplift on palaeoclimate proxies. Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 342, 279-291.

Lunt, D.J., Valdes, P.J., Dunkley Jones, T, Ridgwell, A., Haywood, A.M., Schmidt, D.N., Marsh, R., Maslin, M. (2010). CO2-driven ocean circulation changes as an amplifier of Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum hydrate destabilization. Geology, 38, 875-878. [doi:10.1130/G31184.1].

Stone, E.J., Lunt, D.J., Rutt, I.C. and Hanna, E. (2010). Investigating the sensitivity of numerical model simulations of the modern state of the Greenland ice-sheet and its future response to climate change. The Cryosphere, 4, 397-417. [doi:10.5194/tc-4-397-2010].

Irvine, P.J., Ridgwell, A., Lunt, D.J. (2010). Assessing the regional disparities in geoengineering impacts. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L18702. [doi:10.1029/2010GL044447].

Dunkley Jones, T., Ridgwell. A., Lunt, D.J., Maslin, M.A., Schmidt, D.N., P.J. Valdes (2010). A Paleogene persepctive on climate sensitivity and methane hydrate instability. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 368, 2395-2415.

Haywood, A.M., H. J. Dowsett, B. Otto-Bliesner, M. A. Chandler, A. M. Dolan, D. J. Hill, D. J. Lunt, M. M. Robinson, N. Rosenbloom, U. Salzmann, and L. E. Sohl (2010). Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP): experimental design and boundary conditions (Experiment 1). Geosci. Model Dev., 3, 227-242.

Lunt, D.J., Haywood, A.M., Schmidt, G.A., Salzmann, U., Valdes, P.J., Dowsett, H.J. (2010). Earth system sensitivity inferred from Pliocene modelling and data. Nature Geoscience, 3, 60-64. [doi:10.1038/ngeo706].


P.J. Irvine, D.J. Lunt, E.J. Stone, and A. Ridgwell (2009). The fate of the Greenland Ice Sheet in a geoengineered, high CO2 world. Environmental Research Letters, 4, 045109 [doi:10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045109].

G. Schumann, D.J. Lunt, P.J. Valdes, R.A.M. de Jeu, K. Scipal, and P.D. Bates, (2009). Evaluation of soil moisture fields from imperfect climate models with uncertain satellite observations. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 13, 1545-1553.

Smellie, J.L., Haywood, A.M., Hillenbrand, C.-D., Lunt, D.J., Valdes, P.J., (2009). Nature of the Antarctic Peninsula Ice Sheet during the Pliocene: geological evidence & modelling results compared. Earth Science Reviews, 94, 79-94.

Haywood, A.M., Chandler, M.A., Valdes, P.J., Salzmann, U., Lunt, D.J., Dowsett, H.J. (2009). Comparison of mid-Pliocene climate predictions produced by the HadAM3 and GCMAM3 General Circulation Models. Global and Planetary Change, 66, 208-224.

Williams, M., Haywood, A.M., Harper, E., Johnson, A.L.A. Knowles, T., Leng, M., Lunt, D.J., Okamura, B., Taylor, P.D., Zalasiewicz, J. (2009). Pliocene climate and seasonality in North Atlantic shelf seas. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A, 367, 85-108.

Lunt, D.J., Haywood, A.M., Foster, G.L., Stone, E.J. (2009). The Arctic cryosphere in the mid-Pliocene and the future. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A, 367, 49-67.

Salzmann, U., Haywood, A.M., Lunt, D.J. (2009). The Past is a Guide to the Future? Comparing Middle Pliocene Vegetation with Predicted Biome Distributions for the 21st Century. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A, 367, 189-204.

Bonham, S.G., Haywood, A.M., Lunt, D.J., Collins, M. and Salzmann, U. (2009). ENSO, Pliocene Climate and Equifinality. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A, 367, 127-156.

Haywood, A.M., Dowsett, D.J., Valdes, P.J., Lunt, D.J., Francis, J.E. & Sellwood, B.W. (2009). Pliocene climate: processes and problems. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A, 367, 3-17.


Lunt, D.J., Foster, G.L., Haywood, A.M., Stone, E.J. (2008). Late Pliocene Greenland glaciation controlled by a decline in atmospheric CO2 levels. Nature, 454, 1102-1105. [doi:10.1038/nature07223].

Lunt, D.J., Flecker, R., Valdes, P.J., Gladstone, R., Salzmann, U., Haywood, A, (2008), A methodology for targeting palaeo proxy data acquisition: A case study for the terrestrial late Miocene. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 271, 53-62.

Lunt, D.J., A. Ridgwell, P.J. Valdes, and A. Seale (2008), "Sunshade World": A fully coupled GCM evaluation of the climatic impacts of geoengineering, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L12710, [doi:10.1029/2008GL033674].

Salzmann, U., Haywood, A., Lunt, D., Valdes, P., Hill, D. (2008). A new global biome reconstruction for the Middle Pliocene. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 432-447.

Banks, W.E., d'Errico, F., Townsend Peterson, A., Vanhaeren, M., Kageyama, M., Sepulchre, P., Ramstein, G., Jost, A., Lunt, D. (2008). Human ecological niches and territories during the LGM in Europe derived from an application of eco-cultural niche modeling. Journal of Archaeological Science, 35, 481-491.

Lunt, D.J., Valdes, P.J., Haywood, A., Rutt, I. (2008). Closure of the Panama Seaway during the Pliocene: Implications for climate and Northern Hemisphere glaciation. Climate Dynamics, 30, 1-18.


Lenton, T.M., Marsh, R., Price, A.R., Lunt, D.J., Y. Aksenov, J. D. Annan, T. Cooper-Chadwick, S. J. Cox, N. R. Edwards, S. Goswami, J. C. Hargreaves, P. P. Harris, Z. Jiao, V. N. Livina, A. J. Payne, I. C. Rutt, J. G. Shepherd, P. J. Valdes, G. Williams, M.S. Williamson, and A. Yool (2007). Effects of atmospheric dynamics and ocean resolution on bi-stability of the thermohaline circulation examined using the Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system modelling (GENIE) framework. Climate Dynamics, 29, 591-613.

Lunt, D.J., Ross, I., Hopley, P.J., Valdes, P.J. (2007) Modelling Late Oligocene C4 grasses and climate. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 251, 239-253.

Gladstone, G., Flecker, R., Valdes, P., Lunt, D., Markwick, P. (2007) The Mediterranean hydrologic budget from a Late Miocene global climate simulation. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 251, 254-267.

Price, A.R., Xue, G., Yool, A., Lunt, D.J., Valdes, P.J., Lenton, T.M., Wason, J.L., Pound, G.E., Cox, S.J. and the GENIE team (2007) Optimisation of integrated Earth System Model components using Grid-enabled data management and computation. Concurrency and Computation: Practice and Experience, 19, 153-165


Lunt, D.J., Williamson, M.S., Valdes, P.J., Lenton, T.M. (2006) Comparing transient, accelerated, and equilibrium simulations of the last 30,000 years with the GENIE-1 model. Climate of the Past, 2, 221-235. [pdf].

Cheddadi, R., Vendramin, G., Litt, T., François, L., Kageyama, M., Lorentz, S., Laurent, J.-M., de Beaulieu, J.-L., Sadori, L., Jost, A., Lunt, D. (2006) Imprints of glacial refugia in the modern genetic diversity of Pinus sylvestris. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 15, 271-282.


Jost, A., Lunt, D., Kageyama, M., Abe-Ouchi, A., Peyron, O., Valdes, P.J. and Ramstein, G. (2005) High-resolution simulations of the last glacial maximum climate over Europe: a solution to discrepancies with continental palaeoclimatic reconstructions? Climate Dynamics, 24(6), 577-590.

Annan, J.D., Lunt, D.J., Hargreaves, J.C. and Valdes, P.J. (2005) Parameter estimation in an atmospheric GCM using the Ensemble Kalman Filter. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 12(3), 363-371. [pdf].


Lunt, D.J., de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., and Charbit, S. (2004) Effects of a melted Greenland ice sheet on climate, vegetation, and the cryosphere. Climate Dynamics, 23(7-8), 679-694.


Lunt, D.J. and Valdes, P.J. (2002) The modern dust cycle: Comparison of model results with observations and study of sensitivities. Journal of Geophysical Research doi:10.1029/2002JD002316.

Lunt, D.J. and Valdes, P.J. (2002) Dust deposition and provenance at the Last Glacial Maximum and present day. Geophysical Research Letters doi:10.1029/2002GL015656.


Lunt, D.J. and Valdes, P.J. (2001) Dust transport to Dome C, Antarctica, at the Last Glacial Maximum and present day. Geophysical Research Letters 28, 2, 295-298.