For a fuller description of the paper itself, go to the end of this web page.
Each simulation published in this paper corresponds to a unique 5 or 6 character code on the web pages.
The following table lists the name of the simulation as used in the paper, and the corresponding code name
The webpage gives you the ability to examine the published simulations, but you can also download the raw (netcdf) files to perform your own analysis. Detailed instructions on how to use the webpages and access the data can be found here: Using_BRIDGE_webpages.pdf
You can have make you own analysis and plots by going here
| Simulation Name as in Paper | Simulation name on web pages |
|---|---|
| Pre-industrial control | xggvh |
| Ensemble-mean PI eruption | tddcX |
| RCP6 ensemble mean | xiuzX |
| Ensemble-mean RCP6 eruption | xisqX |
| PI atmosphere-only with control SST+ice | xmpab |
| PI atmosphere-only with eruption SST+ice | xmpac |
| PI atmosphere-only with control SST eruption ice | xmpaf |
| RCP6 atmosphere-only with control SST+ice | xmpad |
| RCP6 atmosphere-only with eruption SST+ice | xmpae |
| RCP6 atmosphere-only with control SST eruption ice | xmpah |
This paper reports HadGEM2-ES simulations of a hypothetical future eruption matching the 1815 Tambora eruption, but in the year 2045 and under the RCP6.0 scenario. We find that the eruption-induced cooling is less in the future, because the effective radiative forcing from the eruption is less due to the increase in tropospheric aerosol burden in the future relative to the pre-industrial.
| Name | Hopcroft et al |
|---|---|
| Brief Description | This paper reports HadGEM2-ES simulations of a hypothetical future eruption matching the 1815 Tambora eruption, but in the year 2045 and under the RCP6.0 scenario. We find that the eruption-induced cooling is less in the future, because the effective radiative forcing from the eruption is less due to the increase in tropospheric aerosol burden in the future relative to the pre-industrial. |
| Full Author List | Peter O. Hopcroft, Jessy Kandlbauer, Paul J. Valdes and Stephen Sparks |
| Title | Reduced cooling following future volcanic eruptions |
| Year | 2018 |
| Journal | Climate Dynamics |
| Volume | |
| Issue | |
| Pages | |
| DOI | 10.1007/s00382-017-3964-7 |
| Contact's Name | Peter O. Hopcroft |
| Contact's email | p.hopcroft@bham.ac.uk |
| Abstract | Volcanic eruptions are an important influence on decadal to centennial climate variability. Large eruptions lead to the formation of a stratospheric sulphate aerosol layer which can cause short-term global cooling. This response is modulated by feedback processes in the Earth system, but the influence from future warming has not been assessed before. Using Earth System model simulations we find that the eruption-induced cooling is significantly weaker in the future state. This is predominantly due to an increase in planetary albedo caused by increased tropospheric aerosol loading with a contribution from associated changes in cloud properties. The increased albedo of the troposphere reduces the effective volcanic aerosol radiative forcing. Reduced sea-ice coverage and hence feedbacks also contribute over high-latitudes, and an enhanced winter warming signal emerges in the future eruption ensemble. These findings show that the eruption response is a complex function of the environmental conditions, which has implications for the role of eruptions in climate variability in the future and potentially in the past. |